tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post2909986734351298559..comments2023-11-03T13:19:24.236+00:00Comments on Gianluca Baio's blog: Italian elections (1)Kobi Baiohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02301928363600145522noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-49546761398686778422012-12-21T13:19:31.238+00:002012-12-21T13:19:31.238+00:00Thanks Timavo; I didn't know about this websit...Thanks Timavo; I didn't know about this website, which indeed contains lots of information $-$ trouble is that the data are not systematically available in a proper dataset ready for analysis. If I understand correctly how it works, you'd need to dig out all the information and then put it in a suitable table collecting the surveys of interest.<br /><br />Doable, but it wouldn't take much for whoever is managing the data to make them available in a format that would allow:<br />1) easy use of public (and relevant) information;<br />2) a clear understanding of the results of the polls.<br /><br />This is, I think, the most important thing: to know that x% don't want Berlusconi do lead the next government is good information. But it's not good enough information. What bothers me is that to provide the extra data doesn't really cost much (or anything at all!)...Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-14914831701376531362012-12-21T12:40:43.433+00:002012-12-21T12:40:43.433+00:00Hi Gianluca,
interesting analysis, and I like your...Hi Gianluca,<br />interesting analysis, and I like your idea of modelling the correlations between parties. Did you give a look at http://www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it/ ? This is the official site of the government where public polls must be registered.<br /><br />So, who do you think will be the Nate Silver of italian elections?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-14649882942705817012012-12-21T11:31:54.061+00:002012-12-21T11:31:54.061+00:00Thanks FG $-$ your work is certainly relevant. Hav...Thanks FG $-$ your work is certainly relevant. Have you got more details on the technical aspects? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-53615212253514477642012-12-20T14:31:28.890+00:002012-12-20T14:31:28.890+00:00Interesting stuff... we are working on a somewhat ...Interesting stuff... we are working on a somewhat similar model (plus we used social media data). A preview was tested during the primaries of democratic party. You can read about it here: http://snsitalia.wordpress.com/2012/11/29/i-social-media-non-sono-voti-le-primarie-del-centrosinistra-e-lanalisi-predittiva/FGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15419810166490135757noreply@blogger.com