tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31266154496183750882024-03-20T07:57:06.610+00:00Gianluca Baio's blogBayesian statistics, health economics and random stuffKobi Baiohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02301928363600145522noreply@blogger.comBlogger414125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-2187437456733167822018-03-29T19:03:00.002+01:002018-03-29T19:12:21.834+01:00The migration<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">In the past couple of weeks, I’ve been doing lots of work to migrate my website and the blog to a fully-integrated version based on <a href="https://gohugo.io/" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0095eb; text-decoration-line: none; transition: color 0.6s ease;" target="_blank">Hugo</a> and <a href="https://bookdown.org/yihui/blogdown/" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0095eb; text-decoration-line: none; transition: color 0.6s ease;" target="_blank">blogdown</a>. <b>THE NEW ADDRESS IS </b></span><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/blog">http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/blog</a>.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Plenty of people have written very good and detailed templates on how to migrate from other blogging platforms, so I won’t bother adding mine…</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I think overall the transition has been OK — some hiccups mostly due to my limited proficiency with pure html, but I did manage to turn the basic (well, I say basic, but it’s actually pretty good and advanced!) <a href="https://github.com/gcushen/hugo-academic" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0095eb; text-decoration-line: none; transition: color 0.6s ease;" target="_blank">academic</a> template into something that is rather customised to my liking. For example, I’ve expanded the page width and included a more complex website structure, which basically replicates the older version — but better, I think.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I have spent lots of time fixing some small issues (eg in the blog posts — most have been fixed, but I think some links may be broken, or some images may not be placed where I had originally intended). Also, there are some bits and bobs that I still haven’t fixed exactly as I want — for example, the search bar (which is a bit of a more complex thing, because of course the site is static, so it requires some ingenuity to allow dynamic searches. People have done it, but I have to figure it out in all the details…). And I need to take care of syndication of the posts etc. But by and large, the new website is kind of ready to go!</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">For a few more posts, I'll keep both versions of the blog, while I'm setting up all the details in the transition.</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-26739666941492627482018-03-19T08:20:00.001+00:002018-03-19T08:20:18.849+00:00Not long until abstract submission deadline...<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-size: 12pt; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-size: 14pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Registration and Abstract Submission Open for<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">BAYES 2018: Bayesian Biostatistics Workshop<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">- Satellite of ISBA 2018<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 14pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">20<sup>th</sup> – 22<sup>nd</sup> June 2018 @ Homerton College, Cambridge, UK<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.bayes-pharma.org&source=gmail&ust=1521533618755000&usg=AFQjCNFjPoHiyJ5Ezeyr0nbm2VNeoNmkhw" href="http://www.bayes-pharma.org/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">www.bayes-pharma.org</span></b></a><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">*Not long until abstract submission deadline – <u>31<sup>st</sup> March 2018*</u></span></b></span><b style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Overview</span></b><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><u></u><u></u></span></b></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Bayesian statistics is increasingly taking on a leading role in all areas of biomedical research, continually challenged by emerging questions in clinical medicine and public health.<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This workshop will bring together scientists interested in the latest applications and methodological developments of Bayesian Biostatistics in trial designs, addressing the need for more efficient and flexible approaches to answer key clinical questions; and in the analysis of complex observational data, to enhance causal understanding of disease processes in support of personalised clinical care and public health policies.<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The objective of the workshop is multifold:<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Promote Bayesian thinking and practice in biomedical sciences<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Present applied case studies in clinical and non-clinical settings<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Update delegates on new applications and methodological developments in Bayesian statistics in different areas of medicine and public health<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Offer opportunities for statisticians for reorientation within the changing environment of the bio-pharmaceutical world<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The three day workshop will comprise of a one day training course on Bayesian approaches to incorporate historical data into clinical trials, and two days of keynote talks and contributed oral and poster presentations.<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Keynote Speakers<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u><span style="font-size: 11pt;">·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><u></u><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Professor Deborah Ashby</span></b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> - Imperial College London<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u><span style="font-size: 11pt;">·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><u></u><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Professor Mike Daniels</span></b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> – University of Florida<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u><span style="font-size: 11pt;">·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><u></u><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Professor Jack Lee</span></b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> – University of Texas<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u><span style="font-size: 11pt;">·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span></span><u></u><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Professor Mihaela van der Schaar</span></b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> – Man Institute of Quantitative Finance, Oxford</span></span><b style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Abstract Submissions<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We welcome abstract submissions for contributed oral presentations and posters on the following themes:<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Adaptive trials<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Bayesian approaches to bias modelling and causal inference<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Decision support for health policy and clinical care<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><u></u>·<span style="font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal;"> </span><u></u>Bayesian contributions to regulatory setting <u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Maximum abstract length is 350 words.<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Please submit your abstract to: </span><a href="mailto:bayes-biostats2018@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">bayes-biostats2018@mrc-bsu.<wbr></wbr>cam.ac.uk</span></b></a><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Deadline for abstract submissions: <b><u>31<sup>st</sup> March 2018</u><u></u><u></u></b></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Registration<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">To register your place on the workshop, go to: </span><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://onlinesales.admin.cam.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/mrc-biostatistics-unit/bayes-2018-bayesian-biostatistics-conference/bayes-2018-bayesian-biostatistics-conference&source=gmail&ust=1521533618755000&usg=AFQjCNFmBnqBzz7sBrwwR4nswyt6xkCvLw" href="http://onlinesales.admin.cam.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/mrc-biostatistics-unit/bayes-2018-bayesian-biostatistics-conference/bayes-2018-bayesian-biostatistics-conference" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><b>http://onlinesales.admin.cam.<wbr></wbr>ac.uk/conferences-and-events/<wbr></wbr>mrc-biostatistics-unit/bayes-<wbr></wbr>2018-bayesian-biostatistics-<wbr></wbr>conference/bayes-2018-<wbr></wbr>bayesian-biostatistics-<wbr></wbr>conference</b></a></span><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Deadline for registering: <b><u>31<sup>st</sup> May 2018</u></b><u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This workshop is endorsed by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, Adolphe Quetelet Society and the Royal Statistical Society, and is supported by the MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Organising Committee<u></u><u></u></span></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br />Gianluca Baio (University College London, UK)<br />Alun Bedding (Roche, UK)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Nicky Best (GlaxSmithKline, UK)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Bruno Boulanger (Pharmalex (Arlenda, Belgium)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Daniela De Angelis (MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, UK)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Leonhard Held (University of Zurich, Switzerland)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Emmanuel Lesaffre (KULeuven, Belgium)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Sylvia Richardson (MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, UK)<u></u><u></u></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 11pt;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Simon Wandel (Novartis, CH)</span></span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-9863272604483401742018-03-19T08:17:00.001+00:002018-03-19T08:17:36.716+00:00Free tweets<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-obz8A55Cl8Y/Wq9x6GbcYVI/AAAAAAAAKAs/jmfbRISeJJIz_uJZhu6bIARdHGmML2U5QCLcBGAs/s1600/Screenshot%2Bfrom%2B2018-03-19%2B08%253A16%253A17.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1000" data-original-width="1600" height="200" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-obz8A55Cl8Y/Wq9x6GbcYVI/AAAAAAAAKAs/jmfbRISeJJIz_uJZhu6bIARdHGmML2U5QCLcBGAs/s320/Screenshot%2Bfrom%2B2018-03-19%2B08%253A16%253A17.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">As part of their marketing strategy, Springer have <a href="https://twitter.com/springerstats?lang=de" target="_blank">tweeted</a> a link to free download of Chapter 1 of our <a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/BCEAbook" target="_blank">BCEA book</a>. The tweet went out last Friday, but I think there's still time...</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-11494474284673638102018-03-05T09:32:00.001+00:002018-03-05T10:32:47.181+00:00HTA R Us<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZtioaXaM19A/Wp0M1SvJ4VI/AAAAAAAAJ4I/aJkvPE4DVRsZkUnDCR9LsGZUdfG-aFNKACLcBGAs/s1600/1681.strip_.gif" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="199" data-original-width="640" height="123" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ZtioaXaM19A/Wp0M1SvJ4VI/AAAAAAAAJ4I/aJkvPE4DVRsZkUnDCR9LsGZUdfG-aFNKACLcBGAs/s400/1681.strip_.gif" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Together with colleagues around the UK, we're organising a workshop on the use of R for statistical modelling in health economic evaluation (broadly speaking, "cost-effectiveness analysis").<br /><br />It's good that this is exciting news (contributing to taking my mind off all the politics & elections in the world...). But I think this <i>really</i> is exciting news, with a very good line up of speakers/talks. And I really think the objectives of this workshop are very interesting $-$ I think, ultimately, we'll aim at also creating a repository for files/examples/models/templates so that people can start using R for their health economic modelling more and more.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><br />Details below $-$ and Howard tells me the spaces are filling up very quickly...</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>One-day workshop on R for trial and model-based cost-effectiveness analysis</b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>Venue:</b> <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507679059" style="color: #222222;">G12 in 1-19 Torrington Place, University College London, United Kingdom. </a><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://goo.gl/maps/GJwZAmeozCM2&source=gmail&ust=1520324135647000&usg=AFQjCNEwt_6snJTOYj7AZoe_zf9CpAGnEQ" href="https://goo.gl/maps/GJwZAmeozCM2" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">https://goo.gl/maps/<wbr></wbr>GJwZAmeozCM2</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>Date:</b> 11<sup>th</sup> July 2018.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>Organizer:</b> Howard Thom, Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">It is our pleasure to announce a one-day workshop on the use of R for trial and model-based cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA). CEA is often done using Excel but, despite its ease of use, Excel incurs the disadvantages of slow computational speed and a lack of transparency; <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507680216" style="color: #222222;">our workshop aims to explore the use of R for CEA as an alternative</a>. A wide range of technical aspects, including a discussion of the many available add-on packages, will be presented to help users get the most out of R for CEA. Presentations and public discussions will address the computational and transparency advantages of R over Excel for CEA and for easing collaboration. Our expert speakers have diverse experience in government (including NICE), academia, and industry. There will also be a contributed oral presentation session and a poster session for which we invite the submission of abstracts. Lunch and refreshments will be provided. A preliminary programme is below. <u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">To register for this free event, please go to: <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507680328" style="color: #222222;"></a><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www.eventbrite.com/e/one-day-workshop-on-r-for-trial-and-model-based-cost-effectiveness-analysis-tickets-43707673829&source=gmail&ust=1520324135647000&usg=AFQjCNF9G24UmSI-_U-olR9MlSp1zM2vuw" href="https://www.eventbrite.com/e/one-day-workshop-on-r-for-trial-and-model-based-cost-effectiveness-analysis-tickets-43707673829" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">https://www.eventbrite.com/e/<wbr></wbr>one-day-workshop-on-r-for-<wbr></wbr>trial-and-model-based-cost-<wbr></wbr>effectiveness-analysis-<wbr></wbr>tickets-43707673829</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">There is no registration deadline, but places are limited so it is recommended to register soon.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507679110" style="color: #222222;">To submit an abstract, please send it to </a><a href="mailto:howard.thom@bristol.ac.uk" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">howard.thom@bristol.ac.uk</a> with the subject “R for CEA abstract”. The word limit is 300. Please specific whether the abstract is for oral or poster presentation, or if either is acceptable. Note that only 4 oral presentation slots are available. Abstract submission deadline is 15<sup>th</sup> May and the scientific committee will make decisions on acceptance by 1<sup>st</sup> June 2018.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">If you have any further queries please contact me on <a href="mailto:howard.thom@bristol.ac.uk" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">howard.thom@bristol.ac.uk</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Best wishes,<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Howard.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Scientific committee:<u></u><u></u></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Howard Thom. Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Claire Williams. Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Nicky Welton. Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Padraig Dixon. Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Gianluca Baio. Department of Statistical Science, University College London.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Anthony Hatswell. Delta Hat Analytics, UK; Department of Statistical Science, University College London.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Marta Soares. Centre for Health Economics, University of York<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Dyfrig Hughes. Centre for Health Economics & Medicines Evaluation, Bangor University<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Chris Jackson. Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Boby Mihaylova. Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Public Health, University of Oxford.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Iryna Schlackow. Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Public Health, University of Oxford.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Preliminary Program<u></u><u></u></span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>9:30-9:45</b>. Howard Thom. Welcome.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>9:45-10:15</b>. Gianluca Baio. Department of Statistical Science, University College London.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>R you seriously saying we shouldn't use Excel?</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This talk will showcase some of the R packages recently developed to aid the work of modellers working in health economic evaluations. The motivation and general philosophy of a few packages will be briefly presented. Examples of their use/advantages over more established, but often non-optimal computational tools, such as MS Excel will be demonstrated.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>10:15-11:25.</b> Marta Soares. Centre for Health Economics, University of York<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>Using R for Markov modelling: an introduction.</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This talk introduces the use of R for generic decision modelling detailing some of the advantages and disadvantages of this software package in relation to others commonly used, such as MS Excel. In this talk, I also present generic R code for Markov modelling, probabilistic sensitivity analyses and value of information analyses (using Monte Carlo simulation).<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>10:25-11:05</b>. Boby Mihaylova and Iryna Schlackow. <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507679024" style="color: #222222;">Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Public Health, University of Oxford.</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>A policy model of cardiovascular disease in moderate-to-advanced chronic kidney disease</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This talk will present the design and structure in R of the SHARP CKD-CVD model, developed using the 5-years follow-up data of 10,000 patients with chronic kidney disease in the SHARP study. The model projects chronic kidney disease progression and cardiovascular complications and mortality using a set of multivariate risk, cost and QoL equations. We will demonstrate the R Shiny-based model interface to enable use by external analysts and will discuss issues related to model functionality and speed of execution.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>11:05-11:20</b>. <i>Coffee</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>11:20-12:20</b>. Participants oral presentation session (4 speakers, 15 minutes each)<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>12:20-13:45</b>. Lunch and poster presentations.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>13:45-14:00</b>. Dyfrig Hughes. Centre for Health Economics & Medicines Evaluation, Bangor University<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>Health technology assessors' perspectives on R</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This session will present the perspectives of members of NICE evidence review groups, AWMSG secretariat and SMC independent assessors on sponsor submissions using R. The skill requirements, confidence and expertise of these groups in using R will also be discussed.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>14:00-14:15</b>. Howard Thom.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>Value of information analysis in R.</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This session will cover the methods for value of information analysis that can be implemented in R, including linearization, brute force Monte Carlo simulation, parallel computing, meta-modelling, multilevel Monte Carlo and quasi Monte Carlo.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>14:15-14:25</b>. Chris Jackson. Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>Continuous-time multi-state models for disease progression</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This session will introduce the theory of modelling disease progression as a continuous-time multi-state process, and how this can be used in cost-effectiveness analysis. R software for continuous-time modelling of various patterns of observed data will be discussed.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>14:25-14:45</b>. Claire Williams. Bristol Medical School: Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>An overview of a suite of code and functions for CEA in R using continuous-time multi-state modelling</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This session will give a brief snapshot of the code already available in a tutorial paper detailing how to carry out Markov and semi-Markov modelling using the continuous-time multi-state modelling survival analysis framework. It will include how to carry out deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis and appropriate graphical outputs.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>14:45-15:00</b>. <i>Coffee</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>15:00-15:15</b>. Anthony Hatswell. <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-2841678278628673452__Hlk507678999" style="color: #222222;">Delta Hat Analytics, UK; Department of Statistical Science, University College London.</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><i>Existing frameworks for collaborative working</i><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">This session will outline various ways of working currently used in collaborative efforts in the health economics and connected spheres. The pros and cons of each approach will be outlines, and how the use of R may be promoted under each of the scenarios.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>15:15-16:30</b>. Participant discussion.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><b>16:30-16:45</b>. Howard Thom. Close and conclusions.</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-6543807845825255832018-03-02T22:07:00.000+00:002018-03-02T22:07:53.250+00:00Job advert<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We have a job opening at UCL $-$ this time is in the Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology and is for a Research Associate in Health Economics. Full details below.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Applications are invited for a Research Associate in Health Economics to join the growing number of health economics researchers at UCL and its partner institutions. The post will join the Health Economics Analysis and Research Methodology Team in the Institute for Clinical Trials and Methodology (ICTM) at UCL, working primarily with the Comprehensive Clinical Trials Unit (CCTU).<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The post focuses primarily on economic evaluations and decision modelling alongside randomised controlled trials and provides a unique opportunity for a researcher in health economics who would like training and hands on experience of economic evaluations using trial data. The CCTU has a growing portfolio of large, multi-centre randomised control trials in pharmaceutical, surgical and specialist interventions providing the post holder with experience in the design, conduct and analysis of these trials. As a member of the CCTU you will be involved in the health economic components throughout the lifetime of the trial. Training and support will be provided by your colleagues in the Health Economics Analysis and Research Methodology Team to provide you with the skills you need to confidently undertake your role. The post also provides the opportunity for the successful applicant to pursue their own research interests.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">For more information or to apply for this role please go to:<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/BIB990/research-associate-in-health-economics&source=gmail&ust=1520104174442000&usg=AFQjCNGjd-CDKbYnbls7iEBC1fvk_vSMMw" href="http://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/BIB990/research-associate-in-health-economics" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">http://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/<wbr></wbr>BIB990/research-associate-in-<wbr></wbr>health-economics</a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Salary: £34,635 to £41,864<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The post is for 1 year in the first instance, but with the potential to extend this.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Closing date for applications: <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="1 April 2018" b4c_id="0" b4c_time="10:00 PM" class="b4c-event">1 April 2018</span><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="1 April 2018" b4c_id="0" b4c_time="10:00 PM" class="b4c-event"><br /></span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-23452837565646147132018-02-21T18:22:00.002+00:002018-02-21T18:22:24.425+00:00Commonwealth Games<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-S-LSIBtz8rI/Wo24AKNoGhI/AAAAAAAAJ2M/E7iBrV_beNAV55RMR1n8f7s9yTnEHbRFACLcBGAs/s1600/Commonwealth_Flags.gif" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="864" data-original-width="1344" height="256" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-S-LSIBtz8rI/Wo24AKNoGhI/AAAAAAAAJ2M/E7iBrV_beNAV55RMR1n8f7s9yTnEHbRFACLcBGAs/s400/Commonwealth_Flags.gif" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Earlier this week, we found out that we have secured the Commonwealth Share Scholarship for our <a href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/prospective-students/graduate/taught/degrees/health-economics-decision-science-msc" target="_blank">Master Programme in Health Economics & Decision Science</a>.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The Commonwealth Shared Scholarship Scheme is a joint initiative between the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission (with funding from the Department for International Development (DFID), and UK universities, to support scholarships for students from developing Commonwealth countries who would not otherwise be able to study in the United Kingdom.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The aim of the scheme is to assist students from developing Commonwealth countries who are of excellent academic calibre but for financial reasons would not otherwise be able to afford to study in the United Kingdom. The scheme allows them to benefit from postgraduate study at a university in the United Kingdom which will help them to contribute toward the development of their home countries.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Applicants must:</span><br />
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<ul>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Be a Commonwealth citizen, refugee, or British protected person;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Be permanently resident in a developing Commonwealth country (for a full list of eligible countries, see the Commonwealth Scholarships Commission terms and conditions;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Be available to start your academic studies in the UK by the start of the UK academic year in September/October 2018;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">By August 2018, hold a first degree of either first or upper second class (2:1) classification, or lower second class (2:2) classification plus a relevant postgraduate qualification (usually a Master’s degree);</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Not have studied or worked for one (academic) year or more in a developed country;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Be unable, either yourself or through your family, to pay to study in the UK.</span></li>
</ul>
<div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">More info <a href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/prospective-students/scholarships/graduate/overs-master/cwss" target="_blank">here</a>.</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-70296099248906414502018-02-07T13:14:00.001+00:002018-02-07T13:14:07.380+00:00Significance early-career writing competition<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-P0WMYlvK0VQ/Wnr7IFAw9xI/AAAAAAAAJv8/itIf8KP6_rs443gzHa_Fs9VrzdzugeX9QCLcBGAs/s1600/download.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="195" data-original-width="260" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-P0WMYlvK0VQ/Wnr7IFAw9xI/AAAAAAAAJv8/itIf8KP6_rs443gzHa_Fs9VrzdzugeX9QCLcBGAs/s1600/download.jpeg" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We've just issued the call for entries for our 2018 writing competition for early-career statisticians. </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Details of the competition are available online <a href="https://www.significancemagazine.com/component/content/article/10-news/579-our-2018-writing-competition-for-early-career-statisticians-is-underway" target="_blank">here</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The competition is open to: (1) </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Students currently studying for a first degree, Master's or PhD in statistics or related subjects; and (2) </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Graduates whose last qualification in statistics or related subjects (whether first degree, Master's or PhD) was not more than five years ago.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Last year’s winner, <a href="https://www.significancemagazine.com/politics/574-we-the-millennials-the-statistical-significance-of-political-significance" target="_blank">Kevin Lin</a>, analysed user activity on the social media site, Reddit, to see whether young people were now more engaged with political news and topics. The year before that, <a href="https://www.significancemagazine.com/politics/246-the-frequency-of-america-in-america" target="_blank">Adam B. Kashlak</a> won for his analysis of State of the Union addresses throughout history, showing how use of the word “America” by sitting US presidents had increased over time.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The closing date is 28 May 2018.</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-36754987219113016042018-02-06T07:20:00.003+00:002018-02-06T07:20:55.847+00:00Acro-juggling<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-OqMzxYMKpv0/WnlU9l-Zl2I/AAAAAAAAJvg/G48-cAIqLA0YoRaA-4avNoM056XbYvaqgCLcBGAs/s1600/acro-juggling-couple-brings-a-whole-new-meaning-to-trust-in-relationships.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="409" data-original-width="818" height="160" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-OqMzxYMKpv0/WnlU9l-Zl2I/AAAAAAAAJvg/G48-cAIqLA0YoRaA-4avNoM056XbYvaqgCLcBGAs/s320/acro-juggling-couple-brings-a-whole-new-meaning-to-trust-in-relationships.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Yesterday, we held our <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/research/domains/populations-and-lifelong-health/research/themes/health-economics" target="_blank">UCL Health Economics Network</a> Symposium. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Kobi has been poorly since Friday, which of course has coincide with a particularly busy week end/start to the new week... Sunday night was particularly bad and we managed to accomplish a trip to A&E (luckily all is good) and some healthy running around so that someone was at home with him at any given time, while teaching and, in fact, going to the Symposium (the picture to the left shows Marta and I practising our acro-juggling...).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Anyway, despite being low on sleep and rather high on coffee, I managed to talk about our work on <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.09541" target="_blank">Bayesian modelling on missing data in health economic evaluation</a> and our <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/statistics/research/statistics-health-economics/" target="_blank">research group</a> in general $-$ <a href="https://sites.google.com/site/annaheathstats/home" target="_blank">Anna</a> and <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/~ucakpou" target="_blank">Spyros</a> also presented nice posters about their respective work. Copies of the slides that were presented yesterday are also available <a href="http://www.ucl.ac.uk/research/domains/populations-and-lifelong-health/research/themes/health-economics" target="_blank">here</a>.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I think the event (or to be more precise, what I managed to catch of it) was very interesting and we attracted a varied range of people from within and outside academia, which was really one of the main objectives. And I think the plan is to turn this into an annual event.</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-16005740163449654592018-01-21T16:26:00.000+00:002018-01-21T16:26:07.483+00:00PhD studentships @ UCL<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-XZVczMf7Y8A/WmDLbWYa-NI/AAAAAAAAJfw/60K5NNXtP_kzN_zg_D1WqkULxacf_Lj0gCLcBGAs/s1600/phd091703s-choosing-grad-schools.gif" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="260" data-original-width="600" height="172" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-XZVczMf7Y8A/WmDLbWYa-NI/AAAAAAAAJfw/60K5NNXtP_kzN_zg_D1WqkULxacf_Lj0gCLcBGAs/s400/phd091703s-choosing-grad-schools.gif" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">My department at UCL has been allocated 1 <a href="https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/skills/students/dta/" target="_blank">EPSRC Doctoral Training Partnership</a> (DTP) award for 2018/19. The award will be 4 years in duration (or 6 years for part-time candidates), covering UK/EU fees, minimum RCUK stipend and a small allowance for consumables. To be eligible for the full award a student must have no restrictions on how long they can stay in the UK and have been ordinarily resident in the UK for at least 3 years prior to the start of the studentship.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/m.blangiardo" target="_blank">Marta</a> and I have a joint project on "<i>An integrated Bayesian approach in air pollution and health studies: linking exposure, health and economic evaluation</i>", which is basically a 50:50 mixture of hers and my own signature dishes... Not as fancy as the <a href="https://www.statslife.org.uk/news/84-significance/authors/1458-gianluca-baio-marta-blangiardo" target="_blank">stuff</a> we've done together in the past $-$ but probably a tiny bit more relevant...</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The advert is now live on the <a href="https://atsv7.wcn.co.uk/search_engine/jobs.cgi?owner=5041394&ownertype=fair&jcode=1710688" target="_blank">UCL website</a> (amongst other places).</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-68205798112956788522018-01-19T08:30:00.000+00:002018-01-19T08:30:29.843+00:00501 days of Summer (school)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RI9-lwJOR7o/WmDMULIbOlI/AAAAAAAAJf4/bLo0uQy1N646tKcXg1TgWc2po8W98W7mgCLcBGAs/s1600/6360532707665640891070242035_500-Days-of-Summer-Lift-Scene1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="690" data-original-width="1092" height="202" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RI9-lwJOR7o/WmDMULIbOlI/AAAAAAAAJf4/bLo0uQy1N646tKcXg1TgWc2po8W98W7mgCLcBGAs/s320/6360532707665640891070242035_500-Days-of-Summer-Lift-Scene1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">As I anticipated </span><a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2018/01/500-hundred-days-of-summer-school.html" style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;" target="_blank">earlier</a><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">, we're now ready to open registration for our </span><a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/bayes-hecourse" style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;" target="_blank">Summer School in Florence</a><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> (I was waiting for UCL to set up the registration system and thought it may take much longer than it actually did $-$ so well done UCL!).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We'll probably have a few changes here and there in the timetable $-$ we're thinking of introducing some new topics and I think I'll certainly merge a couple of my intro lectures, to leave some time for those... </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Nothing is fixed yet and we're in the process of deliberating all the changes $-$ but I'll post as soon as we have a clearer plan for the revised timetable.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Here's the advert (which I've sent out to some relevant mailing list, also).</span><br />
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<b style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Summer school: Bayesian methods in health economics</span></b></div>
<div style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Date: 4-<span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-m_6364554421334345177m_-1691039165423396770m_4152306068248275812gmail-b4c-event"><span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_busy_status="b4c-yellow" b4c_date="8 June 2018" b4c_id="0" b4c_time="4:00 PM" class="b4c-event"><span class="boomerang-meeting-text b4c_event_id0 b4c-yellow" style="color: #ce8302; cursor: pointer;">8 June 2018</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Venue: <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.centrostudi.cisl.it/english.html&source=gmail&ust=1516379531158000&usg=AFQjCNH9IHtjcx92IuvRA5uA4nN0gGN5MA" href="http://www.centrostudi.cisl.it/english.html" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">CISL Study Center</a>, Florence (Italy)</span></div>
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<div style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>COURSE ORGANISERS</b>: Gianluca Baio, Chris Jackson, Nicky Welton, Mark Strong, Anna Heath<b><br /></b></span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">OVERVIEW:</span></b></div>
<div style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This summer school is intended to provide an introduction to <span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-m_6364554421334345177m_-1691039165423396770m_4152306068248275812gmail-m_-3580906387775442887gmail-m_7919324450181747788gmail-il">Bayesian</span> analysis and MCMC <span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-m_6364554421334345177m_-1691039165423396770m_4152306068248275812gmail-m_-3580906387775442887gmail-m_7919324450181747788gmail-il">methods</span> using R and MCMC sampling software (such as OpenBUGS and JAGS), as applied to cost-effectiveness analysis and typical models used in health economic evaluations. We will present a range of modelling strategies for cost-effectiveness analysis as well as recent methodological developments for the analysis of the value of information.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The course is intended for health economists, statisticians, and decision modellers interested in the practice of <span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-m_6364554421334345177m_-1691039165423396770m_4152306068248275812gmail-m_-3580906387775442887gmail-m_7919324450181747788gmail-il">Bayesian</span> modelling and will be based on a mixture of lectures and computer practicals, although the emphasis will be on examples of applied analysis: software and code to carry out the analyses will be provided. Participants are encouraged to bring their own laptops for the practicals.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We shall assume a basic knowledge of standard <span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-m_6364554421334345177m_-1691039165423396770m_4152306068248275812gmail-m_-3580906387775442887gmail-m_7919324450181747788gmail-il">methods</span> in health economics and some familiarity with a range of probability distributions, regression analysis, Markov models and random-effects meta-analysis. However, statistical concepts are reviewed in the context of applied health economic evaluations in the lectures.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The summer school is hosted in the beautiful complex of the <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.centrostudi.cisl.it/tour-virtuale.html&source=gmail&ust=1516379531158000&usg=AFQjCNGwOc2RSmhbDIwhv8LWC-1_ycV11Q" href="http://www.centrostudi.cisl.it/tour-virtuale.html" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">Centro Studi Cisl</a>, overlooking and a short distance from Florence (Italy). The registration fees include <b>full board accommodation</b> in the Centro Studi. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">More information can be found at the summer school <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/bayes-hecourse&source=gmail&ust=1516379531158000&usg=AFQjCNEV7AAKY3U-t_TLhaI4ZajDGE2PHA" href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/bayes-hecourse" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">webpage</a>. Registration is available from the <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://onlinestore.ucl.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/faculty-of-mathematical-physical-sciences-c06/department-of-statistical-science-f61/f61-bayesian-methods-in-health-economics-040618&source=gmail&ust=1516379531158000&usg=AFQjCNEpfNDt2dGVZoHYYleBM3NLB0gVyA" href="http://onlinestore.ucl.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/faculty-of-mathematical-physical-sciences-c06/department-of-statistical-science-f61/f61-bayesian-methods-in-health-economics-040618" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-il">UCL</span> <span class="m_1002902027379059646gmail-il">Store</span></a>. For more details or enquiries, email Dr <a href="mailto:g.baio@ucl.ac.uk" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">Gianluca Baio</a>.</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-10167380476100863452018-01-18T08:17:00.003+00:002018-01-18T08:17:58.040+00:00If you've got an issue...<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I've just got an email alert to <a href="http://journals.sagepub.com/toc/mdma/38/2" target="_blank">the very last issue of Medical Decision Making</a>, which I found very, very interesting.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I knew of a couple of papers through either reviewing or other means, but I have to say, by looking at titles & abstracts, there's quite a few of interesting reads out there... Will need to find the time to do some proper reading, I think. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br /></span>
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<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-73489221562707761972018-01-17T21:43:00.000+00:002018-01-18T16:30:50.061+00:00500 days of Summer (school)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">We're nearly ready to advertise the 2018 edition of our <a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/bayes-hecourse" target="_blank">Florence Summer School on Bayesian Methods in Health Economics</a> (some posts from last year are <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2016/11/summer-school-bayesian-methods-in.html" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2017/06/homecoming-of-sort.html" target="_blank">here</a> )! The dates are June 4-8 and we'll hold it again at the <a href="http://www.centrostudi.cisl.it/" target="_blank">CISL Centro Studi</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Last year, I was very pleased with the whole experience and I think people were also very happy, so we're planning to have more fun in a few months. As soon as the <a href="http://onlinestore.ucl.ac.uk/" target="_blank">UCL store</a> is set up for us to accept registration, we'll go live (and I'll post again).</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-66033690884050021102018-01-16T18:13:00.002+00:002018-01-16T18:13:47.539+00:00Bayes 2018/Bayesian Biostatistics<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This year, our annual <a href="http://www.bayes-pharma.org/" target="_blank">Bayes 20XX</a> conference has been jointly organised with the <a href="http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/" target="_blank">MRC Biostatistics Unit Cambridge</a> and is also a satellite event before the main <a href="https://bayesian.org/isba2018/" target="_blank">ISBA </a></span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><a href="https://bayesian.org/isba2018/" target="_blank">conference in Edinburgh</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">I believe that the call for abstract is now officially open (or will be very, very shortly). We have a very good lineup of speakers, so, as usual, should be very good and I already look forward to it!</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><br /></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-25516331273941304992018-01-15T10:02:00.002+00:002018-01-15T10:02:35.108+00:00Brexit^{-1}<div class="tr_bq">
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I've been asked to post about the EuroCIM (European Causal Inference Meeting), which will be held later this year in Florence. I very happily oblige, because: a) this is usually a very good conference; b) it is organised by nice and obviously very good people (well $-$ at least I like them!); c) at a time where everything UK seem to move away from anything Euro, it's actually very nice to see a conference formerly known as <a href="https://www.iser.essex.ac.uk/ukcim2017" target="_blank">UKCIM</a> going fully Euro!</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>EuroCIM: the European Causal Inference Meeting, April 2018, Florence</b></span></blockquote>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> </span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We are pleased to announce that after five successful editions of the UK-CIM, *the first European Causal Inference Meeting (EuroCIM) will take place in Florence, Italy, in April 2018. *The meeting will be focused on “*Causal Inference in Health, Economic and Social Sciences*”.</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> </span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://eurocim2018.arcolab.org/" target="_blank">EuroCIM 2018</a> is organized by the Department of Statistics, Computer Science, Applications (<a href="https://www.disia.unifi.it/" target="_blank">DiSIA</a></span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">) and <a href="http://www.arcolab.org/en/" target="_blank">ARCO</a> </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">of the University of Florence, Italy.</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> </span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Conference dates are <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_busy_status="b4c-yellow" b4c_date="Wednesday April 11" b4c_id="0" b4c_time="9:00 AM" class="b4c-event"><span class="boomerang-meeting-text b4c_event_id0 b4c-yellow" style="color: #ce8302; cursor: pointer;">Wednesday April 11</span></span> to <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_busy_status="b4c-yellow" b4c_date="Friday April 13" b4c_id="1" b4c_time="9:00 AM" class="b4c-event"><span class="boomerang-meeting-text b4c_event_id1 b4c-yellow" style="color: #ce8302; cursor: pointer;">Friday April 13</span></span> 2018, early bird <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="January 17" b4c_id="2" b4c_time="9:00 AM" class="b4c-event">January 17</span>, Submission of Abstracts <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="February 1" b4c_id="3" b4c_time="9:00 AM" class="b4c-event">February 1</span>. </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The conference will include keynote addresses from:</span><ul>
<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="https://statistics.fas.harvard.edu/people/donald-b-rubin" target="_blank">Donald Rubin</a> </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">(Harvard </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">University)</span></li>
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<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.uni-bremen.de/en/research-alliance/research/cooperation-professorships.html" target="_blank">Vanessa Didelez</a> (University of Bremen) </span></li>
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<li><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://sph.unc.edu/adv_profile/michael-hudgens-phd/" target="_blank">Michael Hudgens</a> (University of North Carolina)</span></li>
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Moreover, on April 10 2018 four <a href="http://eurocim2018.arcolab.org/pre-conference-workshop/" target="_blank">workshops</a> </span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">will be offered by <a href="https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/people/view/788230-daniel-rhian" target="_blank">Rhian Daniel</a> (Cardiff University), <a href="http://johannes-textor.name/" target="_blank">Johannes Textor</a> (Radboud University Medical Center), <a href="http://www.arcolab.org/en/team-details/fabrizia-mealli/" target="_blank">Fabrizia Mealli</a> (University of Florence) and <a href="https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/guido-w-imbens" target="_blank">Guido Imbens</a> </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">(Stanford Graduate School of Business).</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> </span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The conference will also feature presentations and a poster </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">section that will give researchers and practitioners the opportunity to show their work. For more info on the meeting, the fees, how to register and submit an abstract please visit: </span><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://eurocim2018.arcolab.org/&source=gmail&ust=1516090469104000&usg=AFQjCNHsqPK1UwsfDv9qYRNaj66UUhn-qQ" href="http://eurocim2018.arcolab.org/" style="color: #1155cc; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;" target="_blank">http://eurocim2018.arcolab.<wbr></wbr>org/</a></blockquote>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-82753318517740975262018-01-10T20:49:00.002+00:002018-01-10T20:50:31.418+00:00MSc studentships @ UCL<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MVYO_GNBuQ8/WlZ8PI1YUcI/AAAAAAAAJao/_WbigJ4IT4o9zUMxihq44hzY2ZKS1gkYACLcBGAs/s1600/education-teaching-capricorn-starsign-star_sign-astrologer-astrology-jcon6826_low.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="283" data-original-width="400" height="226" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MVYO_GNBuQ8/WlZ8PI1YUcI/AAAAAAAAJao/_WbigJ4IT4o9zUMxihq44hzY2ZKS1gkYACLcBGAs/s320/education-teaching-capricorn-starsign-star_sign-astrologer-astrology-jcon6826_low.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">Two National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) studentships in Medical Statistics are available for the 2018/19 academic year. The studentships cover tuition fees at the UK/EU rate and a maintenance stipend of £17,050 per annum (based on the standard UK Research Council rate with London weighting). All eligible applicants for the MSc Medical Statistics Course will automatically be considered. And: you don't have to be a capricorn...</span><br style="background-color: white; color: #222222;" /><br style="background-color: white; color: #222222;" /><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">For further information please contact Dr Russell Evans (</span><a href="mailto:russell.evans@ucl.ac.uk" style="background-color: white; color: #1155cc;">russell.evans@ucl.ac.uk</a><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;">)</span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-61934295893489302782017-12-22T13:04:00.000+00:002017-12-22T13:04:44.153+00:00A Bayesian analysis of polls in the Catalan elections<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">(Invited post by Virgilio Gómez-Rubio, UCLM, Albacete, Spain. Thanks Gianluca for the invitation!!)</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I have been involved in the planning and analysis or survey polls almost since I came back to Albacete 9 years ago. Last months in Spanish politics have been dominated by the 'Catalan referendum' and the call for new elections from the national government via article 155 in the Spanish Constitution (which had never been enforced before). This elections have been different for many reasons, so I decided to do a (last minute) analysis of the available polls to try to predict the allocation of seats in the elections.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The Catalan parliament has 135 seats, split in four electoral districts which correspond to the four provinces in the region, with different number of seats depending on their population: Barcelona (85 seats), Gerona (17 seats), Lérida (15 seats) and Tarragona (18 seats). Seats are allocated according to<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%27Hondt_method"> D'Hondt method</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Several polls have been published in the mass media, and the proportions of votes to parties (as well as sample size, etc.) are either reported at the regional level (which is useless to allocate seats per provinces) and province level. Given that most polls are aggregated at the regional level it makes sense to combine both types of polls into a single model to provide some insight on the voters' preferences at the province level to allocate the number of seats.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Bayesian hierarchical models are great at combining information from different sources. The model that I have considered now is very simple. The number of votes (reported in the poll) to each party at the regional level are assumed to follow a multinomial distribution with probabilities $P_i, i=1,\ldots, p$, where $p$ is the number of political parties. In this case, we have 7 main parties plus another group for 'other parties'. Probabilities $P_i$ are assigned a vague Dirichlet prior. The number of votes at the province level are assumed to follow a multinomial distribution as well, with probabilities $p_{i,j},\ i=1,\ldots,p, j=1,\ldots,4.$. Both probabilities are linked by assuming that $\log(p_{i,j})$ is proportional to $\log(P_i)$ plus a province-party specific random effect $u_{i,j}$. I have used this model before with <a href="https://previa.uclm.es/profesorado/vgomez//posts/elecciones/rstats/2015/09/27/encuestas-COMB/">good results</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">As simple as it is, this model allows the combination of polls at different aggregation levels. I have used JAGS to fit the model and to allocate the number of seats by exploiting the probabilities from the MCMC output to obtain 10000 draws of the allocation of seats by applying D'Hont rule to the proportion of votes to each party at the proven level.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Next plot shows the distribution of seats against the actual distribution of seats:</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I'd say the coverage is good for most parties. Polls did not show the loss of voters for CUP and Partido Popular (PP).</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Another nice thing of being Bayesian (and using MCMC) is that other probabilities could be computed. For example, the next plot shows the posterior distribution of the number of seats allocated to pro-independence parties so that the probability of them having a majority can be computed (59.86%):</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">As I promised to have a shot for each seat allocated correctly, I've got some work left to do until the end of the Christmas break... Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!!!</span>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-85074339238496052892017-12-19T09:31:00.003+00:002017-12-19T09:31:34.537+00:00Does Peppa Pig encourage inappropriate use of primary care resources?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.bmj.com/content/359/bmj.j5397" target="_blank">This</a> is a very important contribution to the medical literature, recently published in the BMJ.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I think the sample size is probably not large enough to grant robust inference. And perhaps it would have been helpful to consider alternative settings, say to consider the wide diversity in the target population of Ben and Holly's little Kingdom, just to give an example. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">But I do applaud the effort of the author!</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-3093177544348931002017-12-18T11:06:00.000+00:002017-12-18T11:06:47.220+00:00Unpleasantville<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Last week, <a href="https://hrdag.org/people/kristian-lum-phd/" target="_blank">Kristian Lum</a> has written a <a href="https://medium.com/@kristianlum/statistics-we-have-a-problem-304638dc5de5" target="_blank">blog post</a> to report her experience of inappropriate behaviour by some senior male colleagues at statistical conferences (<a href="https://bayesian.org/" target="_blank">ISBA</a> and <a href="http://www.amstat.org/ASA/Meetings/Joint-Statistical-Meetings.aspx" target="_blank">JSM</a>, in particular).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I don't personally know Kristian, although I think I did have lunch with her, a common friend and bunch of other people, at JSM in Montreal in 2013. Anyway, even if I were completely agnostic about the whole thing (and I don't think I am...), seems to me like her account has been corroborated by some hard facts as well as discussion with other friends/colleagues who actually know her rather well. So while it's important to avoid "courts martial", I think the discussion here isn't really about whether these things happened or not (which at this point I'm pretty sure they did $-$ just to clarify). </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I've been left with mixed feelings and a sense of kind-of-having lost my bearings, since I found this out last week. Firstly, I am not surprised to hear that such things <i>can </i>happen at a conference or in academia, in general. What has kind of surprised me is the fact that while I do move more or less in those circles, I wasn't aware of the reputation of the two people who have been named. Some people (for example <a href="http://andrewgelman.com/2017/12/14/need-stop-sacrificing-women-alter-deeply-mediocre-men-isba-edition/" target="_blank">here</a>) have made a point that these stories were well known and Kristian said so herself in her blog post. As somebody who's involved in ISBA, this is troubling and I kind of feel like we've hid our collective head under the sand, possibly for a very long time. To be fair, ISBA is now coming up with a <a href="https://xianblog.wordpress.com/2017/12/16/how-to-make-isba-conference-safe-for-all/" target="_blank">task-force</a> to create protocols and prevent issues such as these arising again in the future. Still, doesn't feel particularly good...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Secondly, this may be some sort of self-preservation (or may be denial?) instinct and may be there is indeed a much more rooted problem in statistics and in fact in Bayesian statistics, which I make myself struggle to see because it hurts to think that the environment in which I work is actually flawed in bad ways. But what I mean is that perhaps it's not like there's a couple of areas in which bad guys operate and if only we could get rid of <i>those</i> bad guys in <i>those </i>areas, then society would be idyllic. I think that, unfortunately, there's plenty of examples where people with/in power (statistically more likely to be white men) do behave badly and abuse their power in many ways, </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">including sexually</span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">. May be our field does represent men disproportionately $-$ and it may well be that this is even truer for Bayesian statistics than for other branches of statistical science. And so, as painful as it is to realise quite clearly that the grass ain't so green after all, it is what it is. But the problem is (much) bigger than that...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Finally, I've particularly liked my friend <a href="https://twitter.com/jcornebise?lang=en" target="_blank">Julien</a>'s Facebook post (I actually see now that he was in fact linking to somebody else's tweet):</span><br />
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Retweeted Carlos Scheidegger (@scheidegger):<br />We should all read and acknowledge @KLdivergence's and other women's harrowing stories. But I want to try something different here. Do you all know of her amazing work at @hrdag? This, on predictive policing, is so good <a data-ft="{"tn":"-U"}" data-lynx-mode="async" data-lynx-uri="https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2FYDsijFsiT2&h=ATOTwd2mrpawURbnQEpsFRpzhbcNeVZTYCZzRqQ-np48neJPZ9AHnkY6IewDvKouJGEwN3Cnczcq3SRBhAubLO2eNpntFhM8WUcG4Z4kbD25DEs5P8SGfB2tuZECOcGJh2iJoRECvHeO2vEI7JIrGn-vx1AW-nWMCKQ4JEWs9zdK_0ryFBZJ0UnksN7dI8HHwqL--51K5keXDJKBQNJ_kFqyVSg_yKLpM4nQwm5BvDtbofPEYA_MZfKhagHH-HunUdXat2tQmXPECCPZHSdAM2gWF2NtNvmPZUPChHMglvDSnD2Kf0eG" href="https://t.co/YDsijFsiT2" rel="noopener nofollow" style="color: #365899; font-family: inherit; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank">https://t.co/YDsijFsiT2</a> <a data-ft="{"tn":"-U"}" data-lynx-mode="async" data-lynx-uri="https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ft.co%2FGbwgKzSgMb&h=ATOs7L0jsEu1JfEXzxDoizDPkieB03DMDI9aiSDv9Vw4gA73JWpYA1r-7pWDpHrlaurNVxW8tnjIEn0hnksfaGLxmb6BESXZZ2xWVRtLDQVHlz5snywxEDi9mh_sdRF70hqnv9_cFY1XgufKY_u3y7C1ZuPP0SMqJkCDrkq-Y5BBGggoCtKwROQ50E_BLaK822APhVhHejyll7CQb8_9bRGl5WpphD6QJ-XLguOiY2F_H96rTjpS3KMk8r2xDzlzktB3tP0VAlT6OSuT-wIM8TtM2IHA-yUJg-TyydPu14J2Uk7aPXis" href="https://t.co/GbwgKzSgMb" rel="noopener nofollow" style="color: #365899; font-family: inherit; text-decoration-line: none;" target="_blank">https://t.co/GbwgKzSgMb</a></blockquote>
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<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><a href="http://utstat.toronto.edu/?page_id=11779" target="_blank">Dan's</a> <a href="http://andrewgelman.com/2017/12/14/need-stop-sacrificing-women-alter-deeply-mediocre-men-isba-edition/" target="_blank">post</a> has some lengthy discussion about the use of the term "mediocre" to characterise the two offenders. I think that neither mediocrity (= how poor one is at their work) nor excellence (= how good one is at their work) should be excuses $-$ but I see how this may matter because, arguably, the better and more respected you are in your field, the more power you wield over junior colleagues... But I think it feels right to point out Kristian's work qualities. Somehow, it seems to put things in a better perspective, I think.</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-54908633599000701292017-11-21T16:32:00.003+00:002017-11-21T16:32:54.935+00:00βCEA<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/--vT1QvF6d4g/WhRUQas7ZiI/AAAAAAAAJII/LYOEirRgUoAVZ-188rktCZsyNjngdZubwCLcBGAs/s1600/Agrigento_concordia-temple.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="600" data-original-width="800" height="240" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/--vT1QvF6d4g/WhRUQas7ZiI/AAAAAAAAJII/LYOEirRgUoAVZ-188rktCZsyNjngdZubwCLcBGAs/s320/Agrigento_concordia-temple.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Recently, I've been doing a lot of work on the beta version of <a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/BCEA" target="_blank">BCEA</a> (I was after all born in Agrigento $-$ in the picture to the left $-$, which is a Greek city, so a beta version sounds about right...). </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The new version is only available as a beta-release from our <a href="https://github.com/giabaio/BCEA" target="_blank">GitHub repository</a> - usual ways to install it are through the <a href="https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/devtools/index.html" target="_blank">devtools</a> package.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">There aren't very many changes from the <a href="https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/BCEA/" target="_blank">current CRAN version</a>, although the one thing I did change is kind of big. In fact, I've embedded the <a href="https://egon.stats.ucl.ac.uk/projects/BCEAweb/" target="_blank">web-app</a> functionalities within the package. So, it is now possible to launch the web-app from the current R session using the new function </span><span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">BCEAweb</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">. This takes as arguments three inputs: a matrix </span><span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">e</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> containing $S$ simulations for the measures of effectiveness computed for the $T$ interventions; a matrix </span><span style="font-family: Courier New, Courier, monospace;">c</span><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"> containing the simulations for the measures of costs; and a data frame or matrix containing simulations for the model parameters. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">In fact, none of the inputs is required and the user can actually launch an empty web-app, in which the inputs can be uploaded, say, from a spreadsheet (there are in fact other formats available).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I think the web-app facility is not <i>necessary</i> when you've gone through the trouble of actually installing the R package and you're obviously using it from R. But it's helpful, nonetheless, for example in terms of producing some standard output (perhaps even more than the actual package $-$ which I think is more flexible) and of reporting, with the cool facility based on <a href="https://pandoc.org/" target="_blank">pandoc</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">This means there are a few more packages "suggested" on installation and potentially a longer compilation time for the package $-$ but nothing major. The new version is under testing but I may be able to release it on CRAN soon-ish... And there are other cool things we're playing around (the links <a href="https://github.com/giabaio/" target="_blank">here</a> give all the details!).</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-20789290938915520162017-11-20T18:23:00.001+00:002017-11-20T19:56:17.049+00:00La lotteria dei rigori<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-VO9JQj4csh0/WhMaH9zQTmI/AAAAAAAAJHo/9_KUDOn59AA7Tgeqvk39-PI72R9XEuvQACLcBGAs/s1600/penalty.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="210" data-original-width="362" height="185" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-VO9JQj4csh0/WhMaH9zQTmI/AAAAAAAAJHo/9_KUDOn59AA7Tgeqvk39-PI72R9XEuvQACLcBGAs/s320/penalty.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Seems like my own country has kind of run out of luck... First we fail to qualify for the World Cup, then <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/20/london-loses-european-medicines-agency-amsterdam-brexit-relocation" target="_blank">lose the right to host the relocated headquarters of the European Medicine Agency</a>, post Brexit. If I were a cynic ex-pat, I'd probably think that the former will be felt like the worst defeat across Italy. May be it will.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">As I've mentioned <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2017/11/relocation-relocation-relocation.html" target="_blank">here</a>, I'd been talking to <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/ema-eba-brexit-why-race-for-eu-agencies-is-more-complex-than-eurovision/" target="_blank">Politico</a>, about how the whole process looked like the Eurovision. I think the actual thing did have some elements $-$ earlier today, on the eve of the vote, it appeared like <a href="https://eutoday.net/news/business-economy/2017/bratislava-strong-candidate-to-host-ema" target="_blank">Bratislava</a> was the hot favourite. This kind of reminded me of the days before the final of the Eurovision, when one of the acts is often touted as the sure-thing, often over and above its musical quality. And I do believe that there's an element of "letting people know that we're up for hosting the next one" going on to pimp up the experts' opinions. Although sometimes, as it turns out, the favourites are not so keen in reality $-$ cue their poor performance come the actual thing...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">In the event, Bratislava was eliminated at the first round. The contest went all the way to extra times, with Copenhagen dropping out at the semifinals and Amsterdam-Milan contesting the final head-to-head. As the two finalists got the same number of votes (with I think one abstaining), the decision was made on luck $-$ basically on penalties, or as we say in Italian, la lotteria dei rigori.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I guess there must have been some thinking behind the set-up of the voting system that, in case it came down to a tie at the final round, both remaining candidates would be "acceptable" (if not to everybody, at least to the main players) and so they'd be happy for this to go 50:50. And so Amsterdam it is!</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-81407613835411917022017-11-14T21:19:00.000+00:002017-11-14T21:19:16.307+00:00Relocation, relocation, relocation<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QKhelU4G4Jg/WgtbS25n3JI/AAAAAAAAJDs/ZbP1IdJhlMs9Dao_qrMWQq4fLcfecRpLwCLcBGAs/s1600/palio-di-siena-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="586" data-original-width="959" height="195" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-QKhelU4G4Jg/WgtbS25n3JI/AAAAAAAAJDs/ZbP1IdJhlMs9Dao_qrMWQq4fLcfecRpLwCLcBGAs/s320/palio-di-siena-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Earlier today, I was contacted by <a href="https://www.politico.eu/" target="_blank">Politico</a> $-$ they are covering the story about the European Union's process to reassign the two EU agencies currently located in London, the European Medicines Agency, (EMA) and the European Banking Authority (EBA) post-Brexit.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">I know <i>of</i> this, but wasn't aware of the actual <a href="http://www.consilium.europa.eu//media/31486/171109-agencies-vote-qanda-for-the-press.pdf" target="_blank">process</a>, which is kind of complex: </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><i>"The vote for each agency will consist of successive voting rounds, with the votes cast by secret ballot. In the first round, each member state will have one vote consisting of six voting points, which should be allocated in order of preference to three offers: three points to the first preference, two to the second and one to the third. If one offer receives three voting points from at least 14 member states, this will be considered the selected offer. Otherwise, the three offers (or more in case of a tie) with the highest number of points will go to a second round of voting. In the second round, each member state will have one voting point, which should be allocated to its preferred option in that round. If one offer receives 14 or more votes, it will be considered the selected offer. Otherwise, a third round will follow among the two offers (or more in case of a tie) with the highest number of votes, again with one voting point per member state. In the event of a tie, the presidency will draw lots between the tied offers."</i></span></blockquote>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="https://www.politico.eu/staff/cat-contiguglia/" target="_blank">Cat Contiguglia</a> has contacted me to have a chat about this $-$ they had done a couple of pieces likening the resemblance with the <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-eu-agencies-ema-eba-19-countries-officially-apply/" target="_blank">Eurovision contest</a>. As I told Cat, however, I think this is more like the way cities get assigned the right to host the Olympic Games, or even how the Palio di Siena works... I guess lots of discussion is already going on among the member states. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Apparently, <a href="https://www.politico.eu/article/milan-to-win-ema-frankfurt-to-host-eba-ladbrokes/" target="_blank">Milan and Frankfurt</a> are the favourites to host EMA and EBA, respectively.<i> </i>I <b>think</b> I once heard a story that, originally, EMA was supposed to be located in Rome. Unfortunately, the decision was to be made just as one of the <a href="https://theconversation.com/looking-back-at-1992-italys-horrible-year-66739" target="_blank">many Italian political scandal</a> was about to uncover, pointing to massive corruption in the Italian healthcare system and so Rome was stripped of the title. Perhaps a win for Milan will help Italy get over the World Cup...</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-85088200189794535782017-11-10T07:00:00.000+00:002017-11-10T11:05:26.437+00:00At the Oscars!<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Well, these days being part of the glittering world of show-biz is not necessarily a good thing, but when your life is soooo glamorous that someone feels the unstoppable need to make a biopic of it... well, you really need to embrace your new status as a movie star and enjoy all the perks that life will now throw at you...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I know, I know... This is still about the <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/that-time-of-year.html" target="_blank">Eurovision</a>. But, this time they made a short video to tell the story $-$ you may think the still above hows <a href="http://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/m.blangiardo" target="_blank">Marta</a> and me, but these are actually two actors, playing us! </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I think they've made a very good job at rendering us $-$ particularly me, I think. If you believe the movies: </span><br />
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<li><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">We (particularly I) are younger than we really are;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">We drink a lot (although "Marta"'s drink 25 seconds in looks like a cross between Cranberry juice and the stuff they use to show vampires drinking human blood from hospital blood bags)...</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">We laugh a lot $-$ I think this is kind of true, though...</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">I like how 1 min 24 seconds in, "Marta" authoritatively demands a kiss on the cheek and "my" response to that is covered by floating webpages $-$ kind of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motion_Picture_Association_of_America_film_rating_system" target="_blank">rated R</a>...</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: trebuchet ms, sans-serif;">The storyline seems to suggest that we thought about doing this as wondered whether we should do a Bayesian model $-$ of course that was never in question!...</span></li>
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<span style="font-family: "trebuchet ms" , sans-serif;">Anyway, I think I need to thank the guys at <a href="http://www.tandfonline.com/" target="_blank">Taylor & Francis</a> (Clare Dodd, in particular), who've done an amazing job! </span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-9351675750259589802017-10-17T13:52:00.000+01:002017-10-17T13:52:33.112+01:00The Alan Turing's project<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-hleZS0fcI5I/WeX8Dk1R3KI/AAAAAAAAI8Q/QwbMGp-9xUMrrcTrMxwSHAckdIl_ncbhQCLcBGAs/s1600/alan-parsons-project.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="485" data-original-width="800" height="194" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-hleZS0fcI5I/WeX8Dk1R3KI/AAAAAAAAI8Q/QwbMGp-9xUMrrcTrMxwSHAckdIl_ncbhQCLcBGAs/s320/alan-parsons-project.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The Alan Turing Institute (ATI) has just announced the next round of Doctoral Studentships.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Here's the original blurb with all the relevant information. The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Alan_Parsons_Project" target="_blank">guys</a> in the picture are not part of the supervisory teams (but I think I will be...).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We are seeking highly talented and motivated graduates to apply for our fully funded doctoral studentship scheme commencing October 2018 and welcome applications from home/EU and international students.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">We are the national institute for data science, created in 2015 in response to a need for greater investment in data science research. Headquartered at the British Library in the heart of London’s vibrant <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.knowledgequarter.london/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNHTEXE1NycGuD-JH5NLIietMSsgdA" href="http://www.knowledgequarter.london/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Knowledge Quarter</span></a>, the Institute was founded by the universities of <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www.cam.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNEeqqd6iL_gSDPcd2O70f8BIslvyA" href="https://www.cam.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Cambridge</span></a>, <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.ed.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNGJhpWSVVu8q3EcqNyzkIKI2-Rz8w" href="http://www.ed.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Edinburgh,</span></a> <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://www.ox.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNERjkSMaDjbOmwutLRlUHT7MtyfYQ" href="http://www.ox.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Oxford</span></a>, <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www.ucl.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNHL9n7TV0ipbX5pMNeTI4Ic4oAeyg" href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">University College London</span></a> and <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www2.warwick.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNGoXvqf0_ejq8JepRURyQgXJIfj7g" href="https://www2.warwick.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Warwick</span></a> – and the UK <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNH6_gW9Mz9fjhBNc62MKzh4AXm1Yw" href="https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council</span></a>.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>The Turing 2018 Doctoral Studentships </b>are an exceptional opportunity for talented individuals looking to embark on a career in the rapidly emerging field of data science.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-723305842273029176__Hlk494734716"><b><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Why Turing?<u></u><u></u></span></b></a></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Turing students will have access to a wide range of benefits unique to the Institute:<u></u><u></u></span></b></div>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Access to a range of events, seminars, reading groups and workshops delivered by leaders in research, government and industry</span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Opportunities to collaborate on real world projects for societal impact with our current and emerging industry partners</span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Expert support and guidance through all stages of the studentship delivered by supervisors who are Fellows of the Turing or substantively engaged with us</span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Access to brilliant minds researching a range of subjects with opportunities to collaborate and join or start interest groups</span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Networking opportunities through the Institute, university and strategic partners</span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Supercharge and speed up research with access to cutting edge IT resources; <a href="https://www.blogger.com/null" name="m_-723305842273029176__Hlk495587658">Azure cloud (with credits), Cray Supercomputer, EPSRC Funded Tier 2 HPCs, High Spec local desktops with GPUs and UK Supercomputer Archer<u></u><u></u></a></span></li>
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<li class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 18pt; margin: 0px 0px 0px 15px;"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Bespoke HQ designed for optimal study and inter disciplinary collaborations</span></li>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>Studentships include </b>a tax-free stipend of £20,500 per annum (up to 3.5-years), plus home/EU tuition fees and a travel allowance. A limited number of fully-funded overseas studentships are also available.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Additional studentships may be available through our Strategic Partners – HSBC, Intel, Lloyds’ Register Foundation and UK Government – Defence & Security with projects aligned to our <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://aticdn.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/2016/06/Shaping-our-Strategy-The-Alan-Turing-Institute-1.pdf&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNErz0qlAxvCOxy43Dk_G2U4opikUA" href="https://aticdn.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/2016/06/Shaping-our-Strategy-The-Alan-Turing-Institute-1.pdf" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext; text-decoration-line: none;">strategic priorities</span></a>.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">In line with the Institute’s cross-disciplinary research community, we particularly welcome applications from graduates whose research spans multiple disciplines and applications.<u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">View list of <a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://aticdn.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/2017/10/Turing-research-areas-and-strategic-priorities_0.pdf&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNFUBX7mHbAdCYHf83rxmYWGLyxKVQ" href="https://aticdn.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/2017/10/Turing-research-areas-and-strategic-priorities_0.pdf" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext; text-decoration-line: none;">research areas and strategic priorities </span></a>for the Turing: <span class="m_-723305842273029176MsoHyperlink" style="color: #0563c1; text-decoration-line: underline;"><span style="color: windowtext;"><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=http://bit.ly/researchareas&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNExf7-V7QFAw1KV8LyXo36FvqHz_w" href="http://bit.ly/researchareas" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/researchareas</a><u></u><u></u></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b>Further details: </b><a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en-GB&q=https://www.turing.ac.uk/opportunities/studentships/&source=gmail&ust=1508327900319000&usg=AFQjCNHHywBpO8XKfLIcm8CTF3xZbTQLJg" href="https://www.turing.ac.uk/opportunities/studentships/" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank"><span style="color: windowtext;">turing.ac.uk/opportunities/<wbr></wbr>studentships</span></a><u></u><u></u></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;"></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;"></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222;"></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><b><u>Application deadline:</u></b><u> <b>12:00 GMT <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="Thursday" b4c_id="2" b4c_time="1:00 PM" class="b4c-event"><span class="boomerang-meeting-text b4c_event_id2" style="cursor: pointer;">Thursday</span></span> <span b4c_all_day="true" b4c_date="30 November 2017" b4c_id="1" b4c_time="1:00 PM" class="b4c-event"><span class="boomerang-meeting-text b4c_event_id1" style="cursor: pointer;">30 November 2017</span></span></b></u></span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-11303066966191456702017-10-09T10:10:00.000+01:002017-10-09T10:10:02.819+01:00Summer school in Leuven<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_86OGR7RtdM/Wds6PvIvJMI/AAAAAAAAI3o/1Det5Xj7UH03qnbvWDAsSeAMdYA_xvYlwCEwYBhgL/s1600/images.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="224" data-original-width="224" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_86OGR7RtdM/Wds6PvIvJMI/AAAAAAAAI3o/1Det5Xj7UH03qnbvWDAsSeAMdYA_xvYlwCEwYBhgL/s1600/images.png" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.kuleuven.be/wieiswie/en/person/00004228" target="_blank">Emmanuel</a> has organised earlier this year the first edition of the <a href="https://ibiostat.be/seminar/summerschool2017/Summer2017Bayesian" target="_blank">Summer School on Advanced Bayesian Methods</a>, in the beautiful Belgian town of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leuven" target="_blank">Leuven</a> (which is also where we had our <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2016/05/bayes-2016.html" target="_blank">Bayes conference</a> a couple of years ago).</span><div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">For next year, they have planned the <a href="http://www.statistica.it/gianluca/SummerSchoolBayesianMethods2018.pdf" target="_blank">second edition</a>, which will run from 24th to 28th September and I'm thrilled that they have invited me to do the second part on... you guessed it: Bayesian Methods in Health Economic Evaluation.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">The programme is really interesting and Mike Daniels will do the first three days on Bayesian Parametric and Nonparametric Methods for </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Missing Data and Causal Inference. </span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-48928305076324630402017-09-27T17:04:00.001+01:002017-09-27T17:04:28.745+01:0024. Nearly.<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-rhp7-xNKj_8/WcvKYD-byDI/AAAAAAAAIz0/bP8d7mhwIkAcxzDhhqqncOMd-l1wcIAdwCLcBGAs/s1600/Kiefer-Sutherland-Jack-Bauer-24.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="317" data-original-width="564" height="179" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-rhp7-xNKj_8/WcvKYD-byDI/AAAAAAAAIz0/bP8d7mhwIkAcxzDhhqqncOMd-l1wcIAdwCLcBGAs/s320/Kiefer-Sutherland-Jack-Bauer-24.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">As the academic year is beginning (our courses will officially start next week), this week has seen the arrival of our new students, including those in our <a href="https://www.ucl.ac.uk/prospective-students/graduate/taught/degrees/health-economics-decision-science-msc" target="_blank">MSc Health Economics & Decision Science</a> (I've talked about this <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2016/10/masters-of-some.html" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="https://gianlubaio.blogspot.co.uk/2016/12/movie-stars.html" target="_blank">here</a>).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">When we set out the planning, we were a bit nervous because, while everybody at UCL has been very encouraging and supportive, we were also given a rather hard target $-$ get at least 12 students, or else this is not viable. (I don't think we were actually told what would have happened if we had recruited fewer students. But I don't think we cared to ask $-$ the tone seemed scary enough)...</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;">Well, as it happens, we've effectively doubled the target and we now have 22 students starting on the programme $-$ there may be a couple more additions, but even if they fail to turn up, I think <a href="https://iris.ucl.ac.uk/iris/browse/profile?upi=JSKOR31" target="_blank">Jolene</a>, <a href="http://www.homepages.ucl.ac.uk/~uctpamv/" target="_blank">Marcos</a> and I will count ourselves very happy! I've spoken to some of the students yesterday and earlier today and they all seem very enthusiastic, which is obviously very good!</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS, sans-serif;"><br />Related to this, we'll soon start our new seminar series, to which all the MSc students are "strongly encouraged" to participate. But I'll post more generally in case they may be of interest to a wider audience...</span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.com0