tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post6242891873590716076..comments2023-11-03T13:19:24.236+00:00Comments on Gianluca Baio's blog: Ordinal footballKobi Baiohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02301928363600145522noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-43755636728356499902021-12-01T05:39:21.375+00:002021-12-01T05:39:21.375+00:00Perform the dreaded internet search. I say dreaded...Perform the dreaded internet search. I say dreaded because you will literally find millions of results for "flag football." In your search, be sure to include the city, county, and state you are located in. This may help some. <a href="http://carrowroad.net/" rel="nofollow">visit website</a><br /><br />Seo Leenahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17947499222641227286noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-40039030011981923502021-07-19T06:39:47.023+01:002021-07-19T06:39:47.023+01:00I love the blog. Great post. It is very true, peop...I love the blog. Great post. It is very true, people must learn how to learn before they can learn. lol i know it sounds funny but its very true. . .<br /><a href="https://naminamijung.blogspot.com/2021/06/10-24-ufabet-24-10-300-ufabet-1.html" rel="nofollow">แทงบอล</a><br />candy crush game downlodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09449959341962999227noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-14462220287038559882021-07-16T06:43:29.554+01:002021-07-16T06:43:29.554+01:00Took me time to read all the comments, but I reall...Took me time to read all the comments, but I really enjoyed the article. It proved to be Very helpful to me and I am sure to all the commenters here! It’s always nice when you can not only be informed, but also entertained!<br /><a href="https://site-4792784-1744-8560.mystrikingly.com/blog/5f0e00dce2b" rel="nofollow">แทงบอล</a><br />rosstaylor505https://www.blogger.com/profile/03028086942696143284noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-43547716639914509102015-09-17T08:21:48.850+01:002015-09-17T08:21:48.850+01:00This comment has been removed by the author.historypakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12429820414620086221noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-58360714844444744852012-10-05T09:32:52.410+01:002012-10-05T09:32:52.410+01:00Well, if you only consider limited number of games...Well, if you only consider limited number of games, you are probably going to have a very large uncertainty associated with your predictions. <br /><br />Especially in this case, the Bayesian approach is helpful in including extra information (eg team form, etc). <br /><br />In fact that's exactly what the bookies do... Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-35143057800699286662012-10-04T13:14:49.657+01:002012-10-04T13:14:49.657+01:00<> This is exactly what I meant. I tried to...<> This is exactly what I meant. I tried to do (playing around for 2 days) that with a poison and also with an ordinal model. While in sample prediction was quite good the prediction of match day t based on the match days 1 to t-1 was not (compared to bookies ;-) ). I'm convinced that a Bayesian approach is better than mine. Maybe your model performs better. <br /><br />flo2speakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08489063613994473075noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-5518672107379337142012-10-04T10:47:40.688+01:002012-10-04T10:47:40.688+01:00I suppose what is "tricky" in this case ...I suppose what is "tricky" in this case is to define the "out-of-sample" predictions. What we did was to replay the whole season at once, which I know may not be the objective, eg if you're a bookie.<br /><br />In this sense, the games are hypothetical, I think. What we could have done (and didn't in the end, although we played with the idea of actually doing it) was to take for example the first two/three weeks of observed data and based on those predict the next round of games. Would that count as "future games"? <br /><br />Also, the model was relatively simple and crucially didn't include any observed covariate; I think this would be fundamental to do real prediction (as opposed to showing that your team were good and deserved better in that particular season, which was my main goal $-$ Marta didn't really care about this one, though). <br /><br />As I was mentioning in my comment to Kees's post, information on the current form, eg in terms of having just (or being about to) played (play) an European fixture, or injuries/suspensions etc. would make the model much more robust and better in predictions, especially for "future" (vs "hypothetical", in the sense I was hinting to above) games.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05591667263922953626noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3126615449618375088.post-15348204196690004202012-10-04T08:51:06.815+01:002012-10-04T08:51:06.815+01:00i'm not sure but it's still in sample pred...i'm not sure but it's still in sample prediction right? how's the prediction when you explain future games and not hypothetical ones with your model?flo2speakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08489063613994473075noreply@blogger.com